There are 386 thousand hires expected by companies in the month of February and 1.2 million for the February-April quarter, +68 thousand compared to February 2022 (+21.5%) and +175 thousand compared to the quarter (+17.1%). The positive dynamics of the demand for labour of companies in the first months of the year is also confirmed by the comparison with pre-Covid levels (February 2019), with a growth of 15.6%.
The mismatch between demand and supply of labor is increasing, covering 46.2% of the profiles sought, a value about 6 percentage points higher than a year ago.
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504 thousand is the number of workers sought by companies in January and 1.3 million for the first trimester of the year. 46 thousand more new hires compared to January 2022 (+10.1%) and +149 thousand new hires (+12.9%) taking the entire trimester as a reference. The demand for labour forecast at the beginning of the year is above pre-Covid levels and shows a +14.0% increase (+62 thousand new hires) compared to January 2019.
Difficulty in recruiting rises to 45.6% (+7 per cent compared to a year ago), which reaches 66% for managerial figures and is close to 62% for skilled labourers.
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At the end of 2022, the share of companies with employees operating in industry and services that have planned hiring remained steady at the 60%, similar to last year. On the other hand, new hires has grown significantly, reaching 5.2 millions in the year, up by 11.6% compared to 2021 and by 12.2% compared to 2019; the difficulty of recruiting is increasing for all professional profiles: there are almost two million recruitments for which companies in 2022 encountered difficulties, around 600 thousand more than last year, but almost twice (1 million) of what was recorded before the pandemic. Also the level of qualification required is rising, with 1.5 million graduates sought by companies (almost 29% of total hires) and 783,000 graduates (15%), both higher than the previous year.
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329 thousand new hires are forecast by companies for the month of December and increasing to 1.2 million for the entire December-February trimester. Compared to a year ago, there was a decrease of over -24 thousand, as a result of the slowdown in the economy caused by the war in Ukraine, the energy crisis, growth of inflation and the cost of money. Nonetheless, the levels of demand for labour by companies remain higher than those recorded in the same period pre-Covid (+28 thousand compared to December 2019, +115 thousand compared to the trimester).
The difficulty in recruiting that regards 45.3% of personnel remains high, a value approximately 7 per cent higher than a year ago.
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382 thousand new hires are forecast by companies for the month of November and 1.2 million for the November-January trimester. The levels of demand for labour by companies remain higher than those recorded in the same period prior to Covid (+33 thousand compared to November 2019, +95 thousand compared to the trimester), more easily comparable to the current context, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and dynamics linked to inflation. In fact, the decline recorded this month compared to the same period in 2021 (-82 thousand) reflects the “rebound" effect experienced last year which led to a 6.7% increase in the GDP.
The difficulty in recruiting that concerns 46.4% of the profiles sought, a value about 8 per cent higher than a year ago, is still growing. On average, it takes 3.9 months to find difficult-to-recruit candidates on the market.
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An inflow of 477 thousand is planned by companies for October and 1.2 million for the October-December trimester, with a decrease compared to the previous year of 5.4% during the month and 10.4% in the trimester. The less favourable prospects, due to the slowing down of the global and European economy mainly linked to the increase in energy prices, inflation and the geopolitical situation, weigh mainly on the recruitment programmes of manufacturing (-28.0% during the month and -26.5% in the trimester), commerce (-5.8% during the month and -11.2% in the trimester) and business services companies (-8.6% during the month and -15.1% in the trimester). Despite the decline in recruitment forecasts, the share of new hires that companies consider difficult to achieve reaches 45.5%, a figure 9 per cent higher than a year ago.
Company forecasts in September, equal to 524 thousand, decrease by -2 thousand (-0.4%) compared to a year ago. Negative trend also confirmed for the September-November 2022 trimester in which the planned new hires slightly exceed 1.4 million with a decrease of -3.0% compared to the same trimester of 2021. The manufacturing sector is slowing down (-13.6%, equal to -15 thousand positions compared to September 2021, and -13.4% for the September-November trimester) and above all commerce (-30.0%, with a trend decrease of more than 25 thousand contracts, and -33.0% in the September-November trimester). However, the positive trend in construction continues: An inflow of 57 thousand is planned in the month and 154 thousand in the trimester (+37.3% compared to 12 months ago and + 30.4% compared to the same trimester of 2021).
Difficulty in recruiting reported by companies is still growing and involves 43.3% of planned new hires, up by almost 7 per cent compared to September 2021 when the mismatch between supply of and demand for work concerned 36.4% of the profiles sought.
285 thousand is the number of workers sought by companies for the month of August and it increases to about 1.3 million for the entire August-October trimester. Compared to a year ago, there is growth in company forecasts with +27 thousand new hires planned in the month (+10.8%) and +70 thousand units in the trimester (+5.7%). The economic comparison with respect to the previous month shows a decline in the demand for work due to the natural seasonality (-221 thousand inflow).
The industry as a whole is seeking 81 thousand professional profiles, of which 55 thousand to be employed in manufacturing and 26 thousand in construction. Services as a whole plan an inflow of 204 thousand. The difficulty in recruiting declared by the companies regards a total of 41.6% of planned new hires (8.9 percentage points more than last year). Emerging among the sectors that encounter the greatest criticalities are the metallurgical and metal products industries (55.6% of the profiles difficult to recruit), the wood and furniture industries (53.7%) and construction (52.7%).
Job opportunities offered by companies in July amount to about 505 thousand: industry is planning an inflow of about 130 thousand (-1,390 new hires compared to June, about -7 thousand compared to July 2021), while in the services sector companies plan to activate about 375 thousand employment contracts (down by 52 thousand units compared to a month ago). 41 thousand new hires are expected in the construction sector, down compared to June (-10.5%), but up compared to twelve months ago (+4.2%). Growth can be seen in recruiting difficulty, at 40.3%, about 10 points higher compared to July 2021, a difficulty mainly attributable to the lack of candidates. Encountering the greatest challenges on the market are the metallurgy and metal products companies (about 56% of the profiles sought are difficult to recruit) followed by the wood-furniture industries (55%) and ICT services and construction companies (both 54%).